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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA and NHL Previews and Odds - 03/18/2024

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Mar 18, 2024

The Monday sports card features NBA and NHL action.The National Basketball Association has eight games on its docket. The Indiana Pacers host the Cleveland Cavaliers at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Pacers won for the third time in their last four games with a 1201-100 victory as an 8-point favorite on Saturday. The Cavaliers lost for the third time in their last four games in a 117-103 upset loss at Houston as a 4.5-favorite on Saturday. Indiana is a 7.5-point favorite, with the total set at 223.5 (all odds from DraftKings).Two NBA games tip off at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Boston Celtics play at home against the Detroit Pistons. The Celtics are on a five-game winning streak after a 130-104 victory at Washington as a 14.5-point favorite on Sunday. The Pistons are on a two-game losing streak after their 104-101 loss at home to Miami on Sunday. Boston is a 16-point favorite with an over/under of 226.The Philadelphia 76ers are at home against the Miami Heat on ESPN. The 76ers ended a two-game losing streak with a 109-98 victory as a 10-point favorite on Saturday. The Heat are on a two-game winning streak after their victory against the Pistons yesterday. Philadelphia is a 2-point favorite with a total of 210. The Chicago Bulls host the Portland Trail Blazers at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Bulls won for the second time in their last three games after a 127-98 victory as a 9.5-point favorite on Friday. The Trail Blazers have lost two games in a row after a 126-117 loss at New Orleans as a 13-point underdog on Friday. Chicago is a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 213.5. The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to Utah to play the Jazz at 9:10 p.m. ET. The Timberwolves have won two games in a row after a 119-100 victory at Utah as an 8-point road favorite on Saturday. The Jazz have lost four of their last five games. Minnesota is an 8-point road favorite with a total of 222. Two NBA games start at 10:10 p.m. ET. The Golden State Warriors play at home against the New York Knicks on ESPN. The Warriors won for the second time in their last three games in a 128-121 upset victory as a 12-point underdog in Los Angeles against the Lakers on Saturday. The Knicks are on a three-game winning streak after their 98-91 victory at Sacramento as a 4-point underdog on Saturday. Golden State is a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 212.5. The Sacramento Kings are at home against the Memphis Grizzlies. The Kings had won two games in a row before their 98-91 loss against the Knicks on Saturday. The Grizzlies lost for the fourth time in their last five games after their 118-112 loss against Orlando as an 11-point underdog on Saturday. Sacramento is a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 223.5.The Los Angeles Lakers host the Atlanta Hawks at 10:40 p.m. ET. The Lakers are on a two-game losing streak after their loss to the Warriors on Saturday. The Hawks ended a three-game losing streak with a 110-93 upset victory in Los Angeles against the Clippers as a 9.5-point underdog on Sunday. Los Angeles is an 8.5-point favorite with an over/under of 227.The National Hockey League has two games on its slate. The Calgary Flames play at home against the Washington Capitals at 8:37 p.m. ET. The Flames are on a two-game winning streak after their 5-2 victory against Montreal on Saturday. The Capitals won for the fourth time in their last six games in a 2-1 victory at Vancouver on Saturday. Calgary is a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 6. The Seattle Kraken are at home against the Buffalo Sabres at 10:07 p.m. ET. The Kraken are on a four-game losing streak after their 4-1 loss at Buffalo on Saturday. The Sabres were on a three-game winning streak before their 4-1 loss at Detroit on Saturday. Seattle is a -118 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5.

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NBA System of the Week

by Al McMordie

Sunday, Mar 17, 2024

When handicapping the NBA, I often will use revenge as a factor.  But I generally need a team to have done more than just lose to its opponent in the season's prior meeting.  Some of the other things I will look at would be the site of the previous meeting, the point spread in the previous meeting, the win percentage differential between the teams, the magnitude of the loss, and how many points our revenge-minded team gave up to its opponent.Certainly, scoring has been up in the NBA the last few years.  And one of my NBA regular season systems has been getting a lot of plays as a result.  That system goes against favorites (or PK'em teams) that scored 145 (or more) points in winning the season's previous meeting.  After giving up a lot of points to an opponent, the revenge-minded team no doubt will want to play harder defense the next time around.  And that's generally all we need to get the edge (and the cover) in the current game.  Since 1990, this system has clocked in with a 38-16 ATS record (70.3%), including 9-1 ATS if our revenge-minded team owned a winning record.  This system will have at least 3 more plays this season (including one tonight):March 17:  Atlanta Hawks + over Los Angeles ClippersMarch 25:  Indiana Pacers + over Los Angeles ClippersApril 4:  Atlanta Hawks + over Dallas MavericksThe Hawks +9.5 are a play, tonight, over the Clippers as a result of their 149-144 loss at home to the Clippers, on February 5.  And Indiana also gave up a lot of points to the Clippers in its prior meeting, as it lost 151-127 at home, on December 18.  And, finally, on April 4, the Hawks will look to avenge a 148-143 upset home loss to the Mavericks back on January 26.  Of note is the fact that the Pacers do own a winning record, so they will fall into the 9-1 ATS subset in their game on March 25 vs. the Clippers.Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 03/17/2024

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Mar 17, 2024

The Sunday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action.The National Basketball Association has seven games on its docket. The Milwaukee Bucks host the Phoenix Suns on ABC at 1:10 p.m. ET as a 2-point favorite, with the total set at 228 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Miami Heat travel to Detroit to play the Pistons at 3:10 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 215. The Denver Nuggets play in Dallas against the Mavericks on ABC at 3:40 p.m. ET as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 225.5. Two NBA games tip off at 6:10 p.m. ET. The Orlando Magic play at home against the Toronto Raptors as a 12.5-point favorite with an over/under of 216.5. The Boston Celtics are in Washington to play the Wizards as a 10.5-point road favorite with a total of 232.5. The San Antonio Spurs are at home against the Brooklyn Nets at 7:10 p.m. ET as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 220. The Los Angeles Clippers host the Atlanta Hawks at 9:40 p.m. ET as a 10-point favorite with a total of 226. The National Hockey League has seven games on its slate. The New York Rangers play at home against the New York Islanders on TNT at 1:07 p.m. ET as a -170 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Vegas Golden Knights are at home against the New Jersey Devils on TNT at 3:37 p.m. ET as a -166 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. Four NHL games drop the puck at 6:07 p.m. ET. The Chicago Blackhawks host the San Jose Sharks as a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Winnipeg Jets visit Columbus to play the Blue Jackets as a -250 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. The Carolina Hurricanes play in Ottawa against the Senators as a -185 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Pittsburgh Penguins play at home against the Detroit Red Wings as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The St. Louis Blues are at home against the Anaheim Ducks at 7:07 p.m. ET as a -205 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. The college basketball schedule has five conference tournament championship games on national television. Yale battles Brown on ESPN2 at noon ET in the Ivy League tournament as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 134.5. Two NCAAB games tip off at 1 p.m. ET. Auburn faces Florida on ESPN in the SEC tournament as a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 155.5. Virginia Commonwealth plays Duquesne on CBS in the Atlantic 10 tournament as a 2-point favorite with a total of 126.5. UAB challenges Temple at 3:15 p.m. ET on ESPN in the American Athletic Conference tournament as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 138. Illinois goes against Wisconsin on CBS at 3:30 p.m. ET in the Big Ten tournament as a 3-point favorite with a total of 149. Matchweek 29 in the English Premier League concludes with one match. Aston Villa are at West Ham United on the USA Network at 10 a.m. ET in a pick ‘em match at BetMGM with an over/under of 3.

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